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CIE 9231 2022 June Paper 42 Q3

A Level / CIE / FS

CIE 9231 2022 June Paper 42 Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

The continuous random variable XX has probability density function f given by

f(x)={kx(4−x),0≤x<2,k(6−x),2≤x≤6,0,otherwise,f(x) = \begin{cases} kx(4 - x), & 0 \leq x < 2,\\ k(6 - x), & 2 \leq x \leq 6,\\ 0, & \text{otherwise,} \end{cases}

where kk is a constant.

(a) Show that k=340k = \frac{3}{40}.

[1]

(b) Given that E(X)=2.5\mathrm{E}(X) = 2.5, find Var⁡(X)\operatorname{Var}(X).

[3]

(c) Find the median value of XX.

[4]
题目中文翻译

连续随机变量 XX 的概率密度函数 f 定义如下:

f(x)={kx(4−x),0≤x<2,k(6−x),2≤x≤6,0,otherwise,f(x) = \begin{cases} kx(4 - x), & 0 \leq x < 2,\\ k(6 - x), & 2 \leq x \leq 6,\\ 0, & \text{otherwise,} \end{cases}

其中 kk 为常数。

(a) 证明 k=340k = \frac{3}{40}。

(1)

(b) 已知 E(X)=2.5\mathrm{E}(X) = 2.5,求 Var⁡(X)\operatorname{Var}(X)。

(3)

(c) 求 XX 的中位数。

(4)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

(a)

解法一

思路

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分别积分两段密度。两块面积相加为 11。

答题过程

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The total integral is

 k[2x2−x33]02 +k[6x−x22]26.\begin{align*} &\,k\Big[2x^2-\frac{x^3}{3}\Big]_0^2\\ &\,\hspace{2pt}+k\Big[6x-\frac{x^2}{2}\Big]_2^6. \end{align*}

Evaluating the two parts,

 k∫02(4x−x2) dx+k∫26(6−x) dx= k(163+8)= 40k3.\begin{align*} &\,k\int_0^2(4x-x^2)\,\mathrm{d}x+k\int_2^6(6-x)\,\mathrm{d}x\\ =&\,k\Big(\frac{16}{3}+8\Big)\\ =&\,\frac{40k}{3}. \end{align*}

Thus 40k/3=140k/3=1 and k=3/40k=3/40.

(b)

解法一

思路

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用 x2x^2 乘各段密度并积分,得到二阶矩。再减去题给均值的平方。

答题过程

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The second moment is

 E⁡[X2]= 340(∫02(4x3−x4) dx+ ∫26(6x2−x3) dx)= 340([x4−x55]02 +[2x3−x44]26)= 340(485+96)=7.92.\begin{align*} &\,\operatorname E[X^2]\\ =&\,\frac3{40}\Big(\int_0^2(4x^3-x^4)\,\mathrm{d}x\\ +&\,\int_2^6(6x^2-x^3)\,\mathrm{d}x\Big)\\ =&\,\frac3{40}\Big(\Big[x^4-\frac{x^5}{5}\Big]_0^2\\ &\,\hspace{2pt}+\Big[2x^3-\frac{x^4}{4}\Big]_2^6\Big)\\ =&\,\frac3{40}\Big(\frac{48}{5}+96\Big)=7.92. \end{align*}

Therefore Var⁡(X)=7.92−2.52=1.67\operatorname{Var}(X)=7.92-2.5^2=1.67.

(c)

解法一

思路

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到 x=2x=2 为止的概率小于一半,所以在第二段求中位数。用中位数右侧的面积简化计算。

答题过程

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The probability below 22 is (3/40)(16/3)=0.4(3/40)(16/3)=0.4. The median mm is therefore in (2,6)(2,6) and satisfies

 340∫m6(6−x) dx= 380(6−m)2=12.\begin{align*} &\,\frac3{40}\int_m^6(6-x)\,\mathrm{d}x\\ =&\,\frac3{80}(6-m)^2=\frac12. \end{align*}

Thus m=6−40/3=6−230/3≈2.35m=6-\sqrt{40/3}=6-2\sqrt{30}/3\approx2.35.

解法二

思路

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累积到 22 的概率为 0.40.4,从 22 到中位数的概率再增加 0.10.1。从左侧累计面积列方程。

答题过程

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Since P(X≤2)=0.4P(X\le2)=0.4, the median mm lies in (2,6)(2,6) and satisfies

0.4+340∫2m(6−x) dx= 12,340[6x−x22]2m= 110,6m−m22−10= 43,m2−12m+683= 0.\begin{align*} 0.4+\frac3{40}\int_2^m(6-x)\,\mathrm{d}x=&\,\frac12,\\ \frac3{40}\Big[6x-\frac{x^2}{2}\Big]_2^m=&\,\frac1{10},\\ 6m-\frac{m^2}{2}-10=&\,\frac43,\\ m^2-12m+\frac{68}{3}=&\,0. \end{align*}

Thus m=6±230/3m=6\pm2\sqrt{30}/3. The plus root exceeds 66, so

m=6−2303≈2.35.m=6-\frac{2\sqrt{30}}3\approx2.35.