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CIE 9231 2024 June Paper 42 Q2

A Level / CIE / FS

CIE 9231 2024 June Paper 42 Paper · Question 2

题目

Problem

A large number of students are taking a Physics course. They are assessed by a practical examination and a written examination. The marks out of 100 obtained by a random sample of 15 students in each of the examinations are as follows.

StudentABCDEFGHIJKLMNO
Practical examination666324525976885148369172686760
Written examination635739504771876556397870616270

Use a sign test, at the 10% significance level, to test whether, on average, the practical examination marks are higher than the written examination marks.

[5]
题目中文翻译

大量学生正在学习一门物理课程。他们通过一次实践考试和一次笔试进行评估。随机抽取 15 名学生,他们在这两项考试中获得的百分制成绩如下。

学生ABCDEFGHIJKLMNO
实践考试666324525976885148369172686760
笔试635739504771876556397870616270

在 10% 显著性水平下,使用符号检验检验实践考试分数平均而言是否高于笔试分数。

(5)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

解法一

思路

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每位学生两门考试的成绩是一对。数出实践成绩高于笔试的学生人数,计算单侧二项概率。

答题过程

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Define the paired difference as practical mark minus written mark. Test H0H_0 that its population median is zero against H1H_1 that it is positive. The practical mark is higher for 1010 students and lower for 55, with no ties. Under H0H_0, the number SS of positive differences has distribution Binomial⁡(15,1/2)\operatorname{Binomial}(15,1/2). Hence

 Pr⁡(S≥10)=∑j=1015(15j)(1/2)15= 0.150878….\begin{align*} &\,\Pr(S\ge10)=\sum_{j=10}^{15}\binom{15}{j}(1/2)^{15}\\ =&\,0.150878\ldots. \end{align*}

Since this exceeds 0.100.10, we fail to reject H0H_0. There is insufficient evidence at the 10%10\% level that practical examination marks tend to be higher than written marks.