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CIE 9231 2024 June Paper 42 Q3

A Level / CIE / FS

CIE 9231 2024 June Paper 42 Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

A factory produces metal discs. The manager claims that the diameters of these discs have a median of 22.0 mm. The diameters, in mm, of a random sample of 12 discs produced by this factory are as follows.

 22.4, 20.9, 22.8, 21.5, 23.2, 22.9, 23.9, 21.7, 19.8, 23.6, 22.6, 23.0.\begin{align*} &\,22.4,\ 20.9,\ 22.8,\ 21.5,\ 23.2,\ 22.9,\\ &\,23.9,\ 21.7,\ 19.8,\ 23.6,\ 22.6,\ 23.0. \end{align*}

(a) Carry out a Wilcoxon signed-rank test, at the 10% significance level, to test whether there is any evidence against the manager’s claim.

[7]

(b) State an assumption that is necessary for this test to be valid.

[1]
题目中文翻译

一家工厂生产金属圆片。经理声称这些圆片直径的中位数为 22.0 mm。该工厂生产的 12 个圆片的随机样本直径如下,单位为 mm。

 22.4, 20.9, 22.8, 21.5, 23.2, 22.9, 23.9, 21.7, 19.8, 23.6, 22.6, 23.0.\begin{align*} &\,22.4,\ 20.9,\ 22.8,\ 21.5,\ 23.2,\ 22.9,\\ &\,23.9,\ 21.7,\ 19.8,\ 23.6,\ 22.6,\ 23.0. \end{align*}

(a) 在 10% 显著性水平下进行 Wilcoxon 符号秩检验,检验是否存在反对经理声称的证据。

(7)

(b) 说明使该检验有效所需要的一个假设。

(1)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

(a)

解法一

思路

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用直径减去 22.022.0,对绝对差排名后恢复符号。题目问是否有任何反证,因此做双侧检验。

答题过程

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Let mm be the population median diameter. Test H0 ⁣:m=22.0H_0\colon m=22.0 against H1 ⁣:m≠22.0H_1\colon m\ne22.0. In observation order, the differences are

 0.4, −1.1, 0.8, −0.5, 1.2, 0.9, 1.9, −0.3, −2.2, 1.6, 0.6, 1.0.\begin{align*} &\,0.4,\ -1.1,\ 0.8,\ -0.5,\ 1.2,\ 0.9,\\ &\,1.9,\ -0.3,\ -2.2,\ 1.6,\ 0.6,\ 1.0. \end{align*}

The corresponding signed ranks are

 2, −8, 5, −3, 9, 6, 11, −1, −12, 10, 4, 7.\begin{align*} &\,2,\ -8,\ 5,\ -3,\ 9,\ 6,\\ &\,11,\ -1,\ -12,\ 10,\ 4,\ 7. \end{align*}

The positive and negative rank sums are 5454 and 2424, giving T=24T=24. The two-sided 10%10\% critical value with 1212 observations is 1717. Since 24>1724>17, we fail to reject H0H_0. There is insufficient evidence at the 10%10\% level that the population median diameter differs from 22.022.0 mm.

(b)

解法一

思路

展开

符号秩检验不仅用差值的正负,也用大小的排序,因此需要总体对称。

答题过程

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The population distribution of disc diameters is assumed to be symmetric about its median.