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CIE 9231 2024 June Paper 43 Q1

A Level / CIE / FS

CIE 9231 2024 June Paper 43 Paper · Question 1

题目

Problem

A college uses two assessments, X and Y, when interviewing applicants for research posts at the college. These assessments have been used for a large number of applicants this year.

The scores for a random sample of 9 applicants who took assessment X are as follows.

 21.4, 24.6, 25.3, 22.7, 20.8, 21.5, 22.9, 21.3, 22.3.\begin{align*} &\,21.4,\ 24.6,\ 25.3,\ 22.7,\ 20.8,\\ &\,21.5,\ 22.9,\ 21.3,\ 22.3. \end{align*}

The scores for a random sample of 10 applicants who took assessment Y are as follows.

 20.9, 23.5, 24.8, 21.9, 23.4, 24.0, 23.8, 24.1, 25.1, 25.8.\begin{align*} &\,20.9,\ 23.5,\ 24.8,\ 21.9,\ 23.4,\\ &\,24.0,\ 23.8,\ 24.1,\ 25.1,\ 25.8. \end{align*}

The interviewer believes that the population median score from assessment X is lower than the population median score from assessment Y.

Carry out a Wilcoxon rank-sum test, at the 1% significance level, to test whether the interviewer’s belief is supported by the data.

[7]
题目中文翻译

一所学院在面试研究职位申请者时使用两项评估 X 和 Y。今年,这两项评估已经用于大量申请者。

参加评估 X 的 9 名申请者的随机样本分数如下。

 21.4, 24.6, 25.3, 22.7, 20.8, 21.5, 22.9, 21.3, 22.3.\begin{align*} &\,21.4,\ 24.6,\ 25.3,\ 22.7,\ 20.8,\\ &\,21.5,\ 22.9,\ 21.3,\ 22.3. \end{align*}

参加评估 Y 的 10 名申请者的随机样本分数如下。

 20.9, 23.5, 24.8, 21.9, 23.4, 24.0, 23.8, 24.1, 25.1, 25.8.\begin{align*} &\,20.9,\ 23.5,\ 24.8,\ 21.9,\ 23.4,\\ &\,24.0,\ 23.8,\ 24.1,\ 25.1,\ 25.8. \end{align*}

面试官认为评估 X 的总体中位数分数低于评估 Y 的总体中位数分数。

在 1% 显著性水平下进行 Wilcoxon 秩和检验,检验数据是否支持面试官的看法。

(7)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

解法一

思路

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将两组分数合在一起从小到大排名。若测评 X 的总体中位数较低,X 组的秩和应偏小。

答题过程

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Under the common-shape location model, test H0H_0 that the population medians are equal against H1H_1 that the median for assessment X is lower. The ranks for the X scores in the order given are

4, 15, 18, 8, 1, 5, 9, 3, 7.4,\ 15,\ 18,\ 8,\ 1,\ 5,\ 9,\ 3,\ 7.

The ranks for the Y scores in the order given are 2,11,16,6,10,13,12,14,17,192,11,16,6,10,13,12,14,17,19. Thus the rank sum for X is WX=70W_X=70; the Y rank sum is 120120, and the two sums total 19(20)/2=19019(20)/2=190. For sample sizes 99 and 1010, the lower one-sided 1%1\% critical value for the size-99 rank sum is 6161. Since 70>6170>61, we fail to reject H0H_0. There is insufficient evidence at the 1%1\% level that the population median score is lower for assessment X.