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CIE 9231 2025 June Paper 44 Q3

A Level / CIE / FS

CIE 9231 2025 June Paper 44 Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

A shop selling electrical goods has a team of three salespeople: Avril, Ben and Charlie. The manager wishes to investigate whether the salespeople are equally successful at selling particular types of items. The following table gives a record of a random sample of 250 sales of laptops, cameras and televisions, with the number sold by each of the three salespeople.

SalespersonLaptopCameraTelevisionTotal
Avril31402495
Ben23452997
Charlie21251258
Total7511065250

Test, at the 10% significance level, whether there is independence between the type of item sold and the salesperson.

[7]
题目中文翻译

一家销售电器商品的商店有三名销售人员:Avril、Ben 和 Charlie。经理希望调查这些销售人员在销售特定类型商品方面是否同样成功。下表记录了随机抽取的 250 次笔记本电脑、相机和电视销售,并给出了三名销售人员各自售出的数量。

销售人员笔记本电脑相机电视总计
Avril31402495
Ben23452997
Charlie21251258
总计7511065250

在 10% 显著性水平下,检验售出商品类型与销售人员之间是否独立。

(7)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

解法一

思路

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根据各销售员的销售总数与各商品总数,求独立假设下的期望频数。再比较卡方统计量和临界值。

答题过程

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Let H0H_0 be that item type and salesperson are independent, and H1H_1 that they are associated. Each expected frequency is its row total times its column total divided by 250250. For example, Avril’s expected laptop count is 95(75)/250=28.595(75)/250=28.5. The expected frequencies are

SalespersonLaptopCameraTelevision
Avril28.5041.8024.70
Ben29.1042.6825.22
Charlie17.4025.5215.08

All nine expected counts exceed 55. The statistic is

 χ2=∑(O−E)2E= (31−28.5)228.5+(40−41.8)241.8+⋯= 3.67249….\begin{align*} &\,\chi^2=\sum\frac{(O-E)^2}{E}\\ =&\,\frac{(31-28.5)^2}{28.5}+\frac{(40-41.8)^2}{41.8}+\cdots\\ =&\,3.67249\ldots. \end{align*}

The degrees of freedom are (3−1)(3−1)=4(3-1)(3-1)=4, so the upper 10%10\% critical value is 7.7797.779. Since 3.67249…<7.7793.67249\ldots<7.779, we fail to reject H0H_0. There is insufficient evidence at the 10%10\% level of an association between item type and salesperson.