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CIE 9231 2022 Nov Paper 41 Q3

A Level / CIE / FS

CIE 9231 2022 Nov Paper 41 Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

A large college is holding a piano competition. Each student has played a particular piece of music and two judges have each awarded a mark out of 80. The marks awarded to a random sample of 14 students are shown in the following table.

StudentABCDEFGHIJKLMN
Judge 17954637469525057554263555648
Judge 27562607376413151455549506536

(a) One of the students claims that on average Judge 1 is awarding higher marks than Judge 2. Carry out a Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test at the 5% significance level to test whether the data supports the student’s claim.

[7]

(b) Give a reason why it is preferable to use a Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test in this situation rather than a paired sample tt-test.

[1]
题目中文翻译

一所大型学院正在举办钢琴比赛。每位学生演奏了一首指定乐曲,两位评委分别给出满分 80 分的评分。下表给出了随机抽取的 14 名学生所得的分数。

学生ABCDEFGHIJKLMN
评委 17954637469525057554263555648
评委 27562607376413151455549506536

(a) 其中一名学生声称,平均而言评委 1 给出的分数高于评委 2。使用 Wilcoxon 配对符号秩检验,在 5% 显著性水平下检验数据是否支持该学生的说法。

(7)

(b) 说明为什么在这种情况下使用 Wilcoxon 配对符号秩检验比使用配对样本 tt 检验更合适。

(1)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

(a)

解法一

思路

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同一位学生的两份评分组成一对。取第一位减第二位,用差值的绝对值排名并恢复符号。

答题过程

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Let DD be Judge 1’s mark minus Judge 2’s mark for the same performance. Test H0H_0 that the population median difference is zero against H1H_1 that it is positive. The differences in student order are

 4, −8, 3, 1, −7, 11, 19, 6, 10, −13, 14, 5, −9, 12.\begin{align*} &\,4,\ -8,\ 3,\ 1,\ -7,\ 11,\ 19,\\ &\,6,\ 10,\ -13,\ 14,\ 5,\ -9,\ 12. \end{align*}

Their signed ranks are

 3, −7, 2, 1, −6, 10, 14, 5, 9, −12, 13, 4, −8, 11.\begin{align*} &\,3,\ -7,\ 2,\ 1,\ -6,\ 10,\ 14,\\ &\,5,\ 9,\ -12,\ 13,\ 4,\ -8,\ 11. \end{align*}

For the positive alternative, use the negative rank sum W−=7+6+12+8=33W_-=7+6+12+8=33. The lower one-sided 5%5\% critical value for 1414 pairs is 2525. Since 33>2533>25, we fail to reject H0H_0. There is insufficient evidence at the 5%5\% level that Judge 1 tends to award higher marks.

(b)

解法一

思路

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小样本配对 tt 检验需要差值总体正态。这里的评分差值来自有上下限的整数评分,正态假设没有保证。

答题过程

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There is no basis for assuming that the population distribution of the paired mark differences is normal. A signed-rank test can be used under a symmetry assumption without requiring normality of those differences.