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CIE 9709 2024 June Paper 52 Q3

A Level / CIE / S1

CIE 9709 2024 June Paper 52 Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

The weights of oranges can be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 131 grams and standard deviation 54 grams. Oranges are classified as small, medium or large. A large orange weighs at least 184 grams and 20%20\% of oranges are classified as small.

(a) Find the percentage of oranges that are classified as large.

(3)

(b) Find the greatest possible weight of a small orange.

(3)
题目中文翻译

橙子的重量可用均值为 131 克、标准差为 54 克的正态分布建模。橙子分为小、中、大三类。大橙子的重量至少为 184 克,且有 20%20\% 的橙子被归为小橙子。

(a) 求被归为大橙子的橙子所占的百分比。

(3)

(b) 求小橙子的最大可能重量。

(3)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

(a)

解法一

思路

展开

正态模型连续,至少184与大于184概率相同。求右尾后乘100变成百分比。

答题过程

展开

Let W∼N(131,542)W\sim\mathrm{N}(131,54^2). Then

P(W≥184)= 1−Φ(184−13154)= 0.163177681….\begin{align*} \mathrm{P}(W\geq184) =&\,1-\Phi\biggl(\frac{184-131}{54}\biggr)\\[4mm] =&\,0.163177681\ldots. \end{align*}

Thus 16.3%16.3\% of oranges are classified as large.

(b)

解法一

思路

展开

小橙子上界对应左尾0.20,用负分位点求重量。

答题过程

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Let ww be the upper weight boundary for small oranges. Then

w−13154=Φ−1(0.20)=−0.841621….\frac{w-131}{54}=\Phi^{-1}(0.20)=-0.841621\ldots.

Therefore

w=131+54(−0.841621…)=85.552453…≈85.6 grams.w=131+54(-0.841621\ldots) =85.552453\ldots\approx\boxed{85.6\text{ grams}}.