题目
Every Saturday, a particular community holds a ‘Puzzle’ event to raise money for a new Leisure Centre. Competitors attempt to solve a puzzle as quickly as possible.
Last Saturday, 600 competitors took part. The times taken to complete the puzzle were normally distributed with mean minutes and standard deviation minutes.
(a) How many competitors would you expect to have times within minutes of the mean time?
In this Saturday’s event, of the competitors had times less than minutes.
(b) 9 competitors who took part in this Saturday’s event are selected at random.
Find the probability that at least 2 and fewer than 8 of these competitors had times less than minutes.
(c) 80 competitors who took part in this Saturday’s event are selected at random.
Use a suitable approximation to find the probability that more than 50 of these competitors had times less than minutes.
题目中文翻译
某社区每星期六举办一项“解谜”活动,为新建一所休闲中心筹款。参赛者要尽可能快地解开一道谜题。
上星期六有 600 人参加。他们完成谜题所用的时间服从正态分布,均值为 分钟,标准差为 分钟。
(a) 预计有多少名参赛者的用时与平均用时相差不超过 分钟?
在本星期六的活动中, 的参赛者用时少于 分钟。
(b) 从本星期六的参赛者中随机选取 9 人。
求其中至少 2 人且少于 8 人的用时少于 分钟的概率。
(c) 从本星期六的参赛者中随机选取 80 人。
使用适当的近似方法,求其中超过 50 人的用时少于 分钟的概率。
原卷通用作答要求
Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.
You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.
Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.
请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。
解答
(a)
解法一
思路
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均值两侧各1.2分钟对应对称区间,先标准化求概率,再乘600。
答题过程
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Let denote a competitor’s time in minutes. Then
The expected number is , giving 221 competitors.
(b)
解法一
思路
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成功概率直接取本周给出的0.6,不使用上周的正态参数。所需次数为2至7,补集是0、1、8、9四种。
答题过程
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Let be the number of the nine competitors with times less than 36.0 minutes. Then .
(c)
解法一
思路
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80人的成功数服从二项分布,用正态近似,均值48、方差19.2。超过50从51开始,修正边界为50.5。
答题过程
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Let be the number with times less than 36.0 minutes.
Since and are both greater than 5, use , where .
Applying a continuity correction,