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CIE 9709 2026 June Paper 55 Q6

A Level / CIE / S1

CIE 9709 2026 June Paper 55 Paper · Question 6

题目

Problem

The masses of boxes of sweets of a certain brand are normally distributed with mean 420 grams and standard deviation 6.4 grams.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen box of these sweets has a mass between 412 grams and 424 grams.

(3)

The masses of boxes of sweets of a second brand are normally distributed with mean 240 grams and standard deviation σ\sigma grams. In a random sample of 500 of these boxes of sweets, 42 had a mass more than 245 grams.

(b) Find the value of σ\sigma.

(3)

The masses of boxes of sweets of a third brand are normally distributed with mean μ\mu grams and standard deviation 0.25μ0.25\mu grams.

(c) Find the probability that a randomly chosen box of these sweets has a mass greater than 1.2μ1.2\mu grams.

(3)
题目中文翻译

某品牌盒装糖果的质量服从正态分布,平均数为 420 克,标准差为 6.4 克。

(a) 求随机选取的一盒该品牌糖果的质量介于 412 克与 424 克之间的概率。

(3)

第二个品牌盒装糖果的质量服从正态分布,平均数为 240 克,标准差为 σ\sigma 克。从该品牌糖果中随机抽取的 500 盒中,有 42 盒的质量大于 245 克。

(b) 求 σ\sigma 的值。

(3)

第三个品牌盒装糖果的质量服从正态分布,平均数为 μ\mu 克,标准差为 0.25μ0.25\mu 克。

(c) 求随机选取的一盒该品牌糖果的质量大于 1.2μ1.2\mu 克的概率。

(3)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

(a)

解法一

思路

展开

将两个质量边界标准化,计算两标准分数之间的概率。原变量连续,不需要连续性修正。

答题过程

展开

Let M∼N(420,6.42)M\sim\mathrm{N}(420,6.4^2) denote mass in grams. Then

P(412<M<424)= P(412−4206.4<Z<424−4206.4)= P(−1.25<Z<0.625)= Φ(0.625)−Φ(−1.25)= 0.628364…≈ 0.628.\begin{align*} \mathrm{P}(412<M<424) =&\,\mathrm{P}\biggl(\frac{412-420}{6.4}<Z<\frac{424-420}{6.4}\biggr)\\[4mm] =&\,\mathrm{P}(-1.25<Z<0.625)\\[4mm] =&\,\Phi(0.625)-\Phi(-1.25)\\[4mm] =&\,0.628364\ldots\\[4mm] \approx&\,\boxed{0.628}. \end{align*}

(b)

解法一

思路

展开

用样本中超过245克的比例估计右尾概率,转成左尾概率后求标准分数,再解标准差。

答题过程

展开

Use the observed proportion to estimate

P(M>245)=42500=0.084,\mathrm{P}(M>245)=\frac{42}{500}=0.084,

so P(M≤245)=0.916\mathrm{P}(M\leq245)=0.916. Standardising gives

245−240σ=Φ−1(0.916)=1.378658728….\frac{245-240}{\sigma}=\Phi^{-1}(0.916)=1.378658728\ldots.

Therefore,

σ= 51.378658728…= 3.626713338…≈3.63.\begin{align*} \sigma=&\,\frac5{1.378658728\ldots}\\[4mm] =&\,3.626713338\ldots\approx\boxed{3.63}. \end{align*}

(c)

解法一

思路

展开

标准差为均值的四分之一,因此均值为正,标准化时可约去均值。所求概率只取决于相对差距。

答题过程

展开

Since the standard deviation is 0.25μ>00.25\mu>0, we have μ>0\mu>0. Hence

P(M>1.2μ)= P(Z>1.2μ−μ0.25μ)= P(Z>0.8)= 1−Φ(0.8)= 0.211855…≈ 0.212.\begin{align*} \mathrm{P}(M>1.2\mu) =&\,\mathrm{P}\biggl(Z>\frac{1.2\mu-\mu}{0.25\mu}\biggr)\\[4mm] =&\,\mathrm{P}(Z>0.8)\\[4mm] =&\,1-\Phi(0.8)\\[4mm] =&\,0.211855\ldots\\[4mm] \approx&\,\boxed{0.212}. \end{align*}