题目
Harry has a five-sided spinner with sectors coloured blue, green, red, yellow and black. Harry thinks the spinner may be biased. He plans to carry out a hypothesis test with the following hypotheses.
Harry spins the spinner times. It lands on blue on spins.
Use a suitable approximation to carry out Harry’s test at the significance level.
题目中文翻译
Harry 有一个五边形转盘,扇区的颜色分别为蓝色、绿色、红色、黄色和黑色。Harry 认为转盘可能有偏。他计划用下列假设进行假设检验。
Harry 转动转盘 次,有 次停在蓝色扇区。
用适当的近似方法,在 的显著性水平下进行 Harry 的检验。
原卷通用作答要求
Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.
You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.
Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.
请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。
解答
解法一
思路
展开
原假设下蓝色次数服从二项分布,用均值60、方差48的正态近似;双尾5%检验比较修正后的z与±1.96。
答题过程
展开
Let be the number of blue outcomes. We test
where is the probability of landing on blue. Under , . Since and are large, use . For the observed lower-tail count of 45, continuity correction gives
The two-tailed 5% critical values are . Since , we reject . There is sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level that the spinner is biased with respect to blue.