题目
In the past, the annual amount of wheat produced per farm by a large number of similar sized farms in a certain region had mean tonnes and standard deviation tonnes. Last summer a new fertiliser was used by all the farms, and it was expected that the mean amount of wheat produced per farm would be greater than tonnes. In order to test whether this was true, a scientist recorded the amounts of wheat produced by a random sample of farms last summer. He found that the value of the sample mean was tonnes.
Stating a necessary assumption, carry out the test at the significance level.
题目中文翻译
过去,某地区有许多规模相近的农场,每个农场的小麦年产量的均值为 吨,标准差为 吨。去年夏天,所有这些农场都使用了一种新肥料,预计每个农场的小麦平均产量将超过 吨。为了检验这一预期是否成立,一名科学家随机抽取 个农场,记录它们去年夏天的小麦产量,得到样本均值为 吨。
写出一个必要的假设,并在 的显著性水平下进行检验。
原卷通用作答要求
Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.
You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.
Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.
请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。
解答
解法一
思路
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明确假设新肥料使用后的总体标准差仍为5.2,以总体平均产量作右尾大样本正态检验。
答题过程
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Assume that the population standard deviation remains 5.2 tonnes after the new fertiliser is used.
Let be the population mean wheat production per farm last summer, in tonnes.
By the Central Limit Theorem, the sample mean is approximately normal. The test statistic is
The upper-tail 1% critical value is . Since , we reject .
There is sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level that the population mean wheat production per farm increased above 24.0 tonnes.