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CIE 9709 2026 June Paper 61 Q1

A Level / CIE / S2

CIE 9709 2026 June Paper 61 Paper · Question 1

题目

Problem

The masses, in grams, of apples of a certain type have the distribution N(58.4,6.32)\mathrm{N}(58.4,6.3^2). The apples are packed in bags, with each bag containing 1010 randomly chosen apples.

Find the probability that a randomly chosen bag contains apples whose total mass is between 550 g550\,\mathrm{g} and 600 g600\,\mathrm{g}.

(5)
题目中文翻译

某种苹果的质量(以克为单位)服从分布 N(58.4,6.32)\mathrm{N}(58.4,6.3^2)。这些苹果被装入袋中,每袋装有 1010 个随机选取的苹果。

求随机选取的一袋苹果的总质量介于 550 g550\,\mathrm{g} 与 600 g600\,\mathrm{g} 之间的概率。

(5)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

解法一

思路

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总质量是十个独立正态变量之和:均值相加,方差相加,标准差不能直接相加。这里质量连续,不做连续性修正。

答题过程

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Let TT be the total mass of the ten randomly chosen apples, treating their masses as independent. Then

E(T)= 10(58.4)=584,Var⁡(T)= 10(6.32)=396.9.\begin{align*} \mathrm E(T)=&\,10(58.4)=584,\\[4mm] \operatorname{Var}(T)=&\,10(6.3^2)=396.9. \end{align*}

A sum of independent normal variables is normal, so T∼N(584,396.9)T\sim\mathrm N(584,396.9). Thus

P(550<T<600)= P(Z<600−584396.9) −P(Z≤550−584396.9)= Φ(0.8031)−Φ(−1.7066)= Φ(0.8031)+Φ(1.7066)−1≈ 0.745.\begin{align*} \mathrm P(550<T<600) =&\,\mathrm P\bigg(Z<\frac{600-584}{\sqrt{396.9}}\bigg)\\[4mm] &\,-\mathrm P\bigg(Z\le\frac{550-584}{\sqrt{396.9}}\bigg)\\[4mm] =&\,\Phi(0.8031)-\Phi(-1.7066)\\[4mm] =&\,\Phi(0.8031)+\Phi(1.7066)-1\\[4mm] \approx&\,\boxed{0.745}. \end{align*}