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CIE 9709 2026 June Paper 62 Q6

A Level / CIE / S2

CIE 9709 2026 June Paper 62 Paper · Question 6

题目

Problem

The length of time, TT minutes, that customers spend in a certain shop has the distribution N(μ,9.2)\mathrm{N}(\mu,9.2). Last year the value of μ\mu was 12.412.4. The manager of the shop wants to test whether the value of μ\mu has decreased this year. She chooses a random sample of 7575 customers and finds that the sample mean, T‾\overline{T}, for these customers is 11.911.9.

(a) Test at the 5%5\% significance level whether the value of μ\mu is less than 12.412.4.

(5)

(b) Explain whether it was necessary to use the Central Limit Theorem in your answer to 6(a).

(1)

(c) Later the manager chooses another large random sample of nn customers. She finds that, for these customers, T‾=11.8\overline{T}=11.8. She carries out a similar test at the 5%5\% significance level, and the conclusion is that there is evidence that the value of μ\mu is less than 12.412.4.

Find the range of possible values of nn.

(3)
题目中文翻译

顾客在某家商店停留的时间为 TT 分钟,服从分布 N(μ,9.2)\mathrm{N}(\mu,9.2)。去年 μ\mu 的值为 12.412.4。店长想检验今年 μ\mu 的值是否下降了。她随机抽取 7575 名顾客,发现这些顾客的样本均值 T‾\overline{T} 为 11.911.9。

(a) 在 5%5\% 的显著性水平下检验 μ\mu 的值是否小于 12.412.4。

(5)

(b) 说明在回答 6(a) 时是否有必要使用中心极限定理。

(1)

(c) 后来,店长又随机抽取了一个包含 nn 名顾客的大样本。她发现这些顾客的 T‾=11.8\overline{T}=11.8。她在 5%5\% 的显著性水平下进行类似的检验,得出的结论是,有证据表明 μ\mu 的值小于 12.412.4。

求 nn 的可能取值范围。

(3)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

(a)

解法一

思路

展开

已知总体正态且方差已知,样本均值也正态。备择假设是均值减小,所以用左尾临界值。

答题过程

展开

Let μ\mu be the population mean time spent in the shop. Test

H0:μ=12.4,H1:μ<12.4.H_0:\mu=12.4,\qquad H_1:\mu<12.4.

Under H0H_0,

T‾∼N(12.4,9.275).\overline T\sim\mathrm N\bigg(12.4,\frac{9.2}{75}\bigg).

The observed test statistic is

z=11.9−12.49.2/75≈−1.428.z=\frac{11.9-12.4}{\sqrt{9.2/75}}\approx-1.428.

The 5%5\% lower-tail critical value is −1.645-1.645. Since −1.428>−1.645-1.428>-1.645, the statistic is outside the critical region; do not reject H0H_0.

There is insufficient evidence at the 5%5\% significance level that the population mean time spent in the shop has decreased.

(b)

解法一

思路

展开

总体已经正态,样本均值的正态性是精确结论,不需要靠大样本的中心极限定理。

答题过程

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No. The population distribution of TT is normal, so the sample mean of independent observations is normally distributed without using the Central Limit Theorem.

(c)

解法一

思路

展开

将“有证据表明减小”写成检验统计量落入左尾拒绝域。移项时先处理负号,最后把连续界限转成整数样本量。

答题过程

展开

Under H0H_0, T‾∼N(12.4,9.2/n)\overline T\sim\mathrm N(12.4,9.2/n). To reject H0H_0 with T‾=11.8\overline T=11.8,

11.8−12.49.2/n< −1.645,0.6n9.2> 1.645,n> 1.6452(9.2)0.62.\begin{align*} \frac{11.8-12.4}{\sqrt{9.2/n}}<&\,-1.645,\\[4mm] \frac{0.6\sqrt n}{\sqrt{9.2}}>&\,1.645,\\[4mm] n>&\,\frac{1.645^2(9.2)}{0.6^2}. \end{align*}

The bound on the right is approximately 69.269.2.

Since nn is an integer, n≥70\boxed{n\ge70}.