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CIE 9709 2022 November Paper 62 Q2

A Level / CIE / S2

CIE 9709 2022 Nov Paper 62 Paper · Question 2

题目

Problem

In the past, the mean length of a particular variety of worm has been 10.3 cm10.3\,\mathrm{cm}, with standard deviation 2.6 cm2.6\,\mathrm{cm}. Following a change in the climate, it is thought that the mean length of this variety of worm has decreased. The lengths of a random sample of 100100 worms of this variety are found and the mean of this sample is found to be 9.8 cm9.8\,\mathrm{cm}.

Assuming that the standard deviation remains at 2.6 cm2.6\,\mathrm{cm}, carry out a test at the 2%2\% significance level of whether the mean length has decreased.

(5)
题目中文翻译

过去,某品种蠕虫的平均体长为 10.3 cm10.3\,\mathrm{cm},标准差为 2.6 cm2.6\,\mathrm{cm}。气候发生变化后,有人认为该品种蠕虫的平均体长有所下降。随机抽取 100100 条该品种的蠕虫,测得它们的体长,样本均值为 9.8 cm9.8\,\mathrm{cm}。

假设标准差仍为 2.6 cm2.6\,\mathrm{cm},在 2%2\% 的显著性水平下检验平均体长是否下降。

(5)
原卷通用作答要求

Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.

You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。

解答

解法一

思路

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检验总体均长是否下降,使用已知不变标准差及100的样本量作左尾正态检验。

答题过程

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Let μ\mu be the population mean worm length after the climate change, in centimetres.

H0:μ=10.3,H1:μ<10.3.H_0:\mu=10.3,\qquad H_1:\mu<10.3.

By the Central Limit Theorem, the sample mean is approximately normal. The test statistic is

z=9.8−10.32.6/100=−1.92308….z=\frac{9.8-10.3}{2.6/\sqrt{100}} =-1.92308\ldots.

The lower-tail 2% critical value is −2.054-2.054. Since −1.92308…>−2.054-1.92308\ldots>-2.054, we do not reject H0H_0.

There is insufficient evidence at the 2% significance level that the population mean length has decreased.