题目
The number, , of used computers donated to a charity has a constant average rate of computers per week.
(a) State a necessary condition for to have a Poisson distribution.
Now assume that has a Poisson distribution.
(b) Calculate the probability that the number of computers donated during a 4-week period is more than and less than .
(c) Use a suitable approximating distribution to calculate the probability that more than computers are donated during a 20-week period.
题目中文翻译
某慈善机构收到捐赠的二手电脑数量为 ,平均捐赠速率恒为每周 台。
(a) 写出 服从泊松分布的一个必要条件。
现在假设 服从泊松分布。
(b) 计算在一段 周的时间内,捐赠电脑的数量大于 且小于 的概率。
(c) 用一个合适的近似分布,计算在一段 周的时间内捐赠超过 台电脑的概率。
原卷通用作答要求
Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.
You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.
Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.
请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。
解答
(a)
解法一
思路
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平均速率恒定已经给出,补充计算机捐赠之间的独立性;回答必须联系具体情境。
答题过程
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A necessary condition is that computers are donated independently of one another.
(b)
解法一
思路
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四周内的平均捐赠数乘以四,严格介于六与九之间只包含七台和八台。
答题过程
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Let be the number donated in four weeks. Then . Hence
(c)
解法一
思路
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二十周的参数为 ,用同均值同方差的正态近似。超过五十台对应至少五十一台,边界修正为 。
答题过程
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Over twenty weeks the total has distribution . Since , approximate it by .
With a continuity correction,