题目
A student notes the length, minutes, of certain lectures. The results for a random sample of lectures are summarised as follows.
(a) Calculate a confidence interval for the population mean length of the lectures.
(b) The method used in part (a) is valid because the sample size was large. Explain why the method would not be valid if the sample size were small.
题目中文翻译
一名学生记录了若干堂讲座的时长 (以分钟为单位)。随机抽取的 堂讲座的结果汇总如下。
(a) 计算讲座总体平均时长的一个 置信区间。
(b) 由于样本量较大,(a) 中采用的方法是适用的。说明如果样本量较小,为什么这种方法将不适用。
原卷通用作答要求
Answer all questions. You should use a calculator where appropriate.
You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a calculator.
Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.
请回答所有题目。适当时应使用计算器。必须清楚展示所有必要的计算过程;仅给出计算器答案而没有过程,不予评分。除非题目另有精度要求,非精确数值答案保留 3 位有效数字,以度为单位的角度保留 1 位小数。
解答
(a)
解法一
思路
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总体分布未说明,先估计均值与无偏方差,再用大样本正态近似构造 区间。
答题过程
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The unbiased estimates are
and
Since the random sample is large, the Central Limit Theorem justifies a normal approximation for the sample mean. For a confidence interval, the two tails each have probability , so .
The interval is
Thus an approximate confidence interval is
(b)
解法一
思路
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小样本且总体未给正态,不能保证样本均值有可用的正态近似。
答题过程
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For a small sample, the Central Limit Theorem would not justify approximating the sample-mean distribution by a normal distribution. The population distribution is not stated to be normal, so normality of the sample mean could not otherwise be assumed.