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IAL 2022 Jan S2 Q1

A Level / Edexcel / S2

IAL 2022 Jan Paper · Question 1

题目

Problem

A local pottery makes cups. The number of faulty cups made by the pottery in a week follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of 6 In a randomly chosen week, the probability that there will be at least xx faulty cups made is 0.1528

(a) Find the value of xx

(3)

(b) Use a normal approximation to find the probability that in 6 randomly chosen weeks the total number of faulty cups made is fewer than 32

(4)

A week is called a “poor week” if at least xx faulty cups are made, where xx is the value found in part (a).

(c) Find the probability that in 50 randomly chosen weeks, more than 1 is a “poor week”.

(4)

(Total for Question 1 is 11 marks)

题目中文翻译

一家本地陶艺坊制作杯子。该陶艺坊每周生产的有瑕疵杯子数量服从均值为 6 的泊松分布。

在随机选取的一周中,至少有 xx 个有瑕疵杯子的概率为 0.1528。

(a) 求 xx 的值。

(b) 使用正态近似,求在随机选取的 6 周内,有瑕疵杯子总数少于 32 的概率。

如果至少有 xx 个有瑕疵杯子,则该周被称为“糟糕的一周”,其中 xx 为 (a) 中求得的值。

(c) 求在随机选取的 50 周中,超过 1 周是“糟糕的一周”的概率。

(第 1 题共 11 分)

解答