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IAL 2025 Jun S2 Q7

A Level / Edexcel / S2

IAL 2025 June Paper · Question 7

题目

Problem

When purchasing a pair of glasses from an optician, customers are offered insurance to cover accidental damage.

Past records from the optician show that 30% of customers buy insurance when they purchase a pair of glasses.

In a random sample of 40 customers who have purchased a pair of glasses, XX represents the number who buy insurance.

(a) State a suitable model for the distribution of XX

(1)

(b) State a necessary assumption for the model in part (a) to be valid.

(1)

The probability that fewer than rr customers who have purchased a pair of glasses buy insurance is less than 0.05

(c) Find the largest possible value of rr

(2)

A second random sample of 200 customers who have purchased a pair of glasses is taken.

Using a normal approximation, the probability that at least tt of these 200 customers buy insurance is 0.9474, correct to 4 decimal places.

(d) Find the value of tt. You must show your working.

(5)

The optician decided to introduce a special offer in which customers who purchase a pair of glasses get the first three months of insurance free if they buy insurance.

Following this, a random sample of 25 customers who purchase a pair of glasses is taken and 11 of them buy insurance.

(e) Test, at the 10% level of significance, whether or not there is evidence that the proportion of customers who buy insurance when purchasing a pair of glasses has increased. State your hypotheses clearly.

(5)

(Total for Question 7 is 14 marks)

题目中文翻译

从眼科医生处购买眼镜时,顾客可获得意外损坏保险。

眼科医生的过往记录显示,30% 的顾客在购买眼镜时会购买保险。

在随机抽取的 40 名已购买眼镜的顾客中,XX 表示购买保险的人数。

(a) 说明 XX 分布的合适模型。

(b) 说明 (a) 中模型有效所需的一个必要假设。

购买眼镜的顾客中少于 rr 人购买保险的概率小于 0.05

(c) 求 rr 的最大可能值。

又随机抽取了 200 名已购买眼镜的顾客样本。

使用正态近似,这 200 名顾客中至少 tt 人购买保险的概率为 0.9474(精确到 4 位小数)。

(d) 求 tt 的值。你必须展示你的计算过程。

眼科医生决定推出一项特别优惠:购买眼镜的顾客如果购买保险,前三个月免费。

此后,随机抽取了 25 名购买眼镜的顾客样本,其中 11 人购买了保险。

(e) 在 10% 的显著性水平下,检验是否有证据表明购买眼镜时购买保险的顾客比例已经增加。清楚地陈述你的假设。

(第 7 题共 14 分)

解答