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IAL 2020 Oct S3 Q2

A Level / Edexcel / S3

IAL 2020 Oct Paper · Question 2

题目

Problem

A university awards its graduates a degree in one of three categories, Distinction, Merit or Pass.

Table 1 shows information about a random sample of 200 graduates from three departments, Arts, Humanities and Sciences.

Degree classificationArtsHumanitiesSciencesTotal
Distinction22323892
Merit15301358
Pass18151750
Total557768200

Xiu wants to carry out a test of independence between the category of degree and the department.

Table 2 shows some of the values of (OE)2E\dfrac{(O-E)^2}{E} for this test.

Degree classificationArtsHumanitiesSciencesTotal
Distinction0.430.331.442.20
Merit0.062.632.294.98
Pass

(a) Complete Table 2.

(4)

(b) Hence, complete Xiu’s hypothesis test using a 5% level of significance. You should state the hypotheses, the degrees of freedom and the critical value used for this test.

(5)
(Total 9 marks)
题目中文翻译

一所大学向毕业生授予三个类别之一的学位:Distinction、Merit 或 Pass。

表 1 给出了来自 Arts、Humanities 和 Sciences 三个学系的 200 名毕业生随机样本的信息。

学位等级ArtsHumanitiesSciences合计
Distinction22323892
Merit15301358
Pass18151750
合计557768200

Xiu 希望检验学位类别与学系是否相互独立。

表 2 给出了这项检验中部分格子的 (OE)2E\dfrac{(O-E)^2}{E} 值。

学位等级ArtsHumanitiesSciences合计
Distinction0.430.331.442.20
Merit0.062.632.294.98
Pass

(a) 补全表 2。

(b) 由此,在 5% 显著性水平下完成 Xiu 的假设检验。请写出假设、自由度和这项检验所用的临界值。

解答

(a)

解法一

思路

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表 2 缺少的是 Pass 这一行。先用“行总数乘列总数再除以总数”求三个格子的期望频数,然后逐格计算 (OE)2/E(O-E)^2/E,最后与题目已经给出的两行合计相加,得到总检验统计量。

答题过程

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For the Pass row, the expected frequencies are

EArts=50(55)200=13.75,EHumanities=50(77)200=19.25,ESciences=50(68)200=17.\begin{align*} E_{\mathrm{Arts}}=&\,\frac{50(55)}{200}=13.75,\\ E_{\mathrm{Humanities}}=&\,\frac{50(77)}{200}=19.25,\\ E_{\mathrm{Sciences}}=&\,\frac{50(68)}{200}=17. \end{align*}

The three contributions are

(1813.75)213.75=1.31,(1519.25)219.25=0.94,(1717)217=0.\begin{align*} \frac{(18-13.75)^2}{13.75}=&\,1.31,\\ \frac{(15-19.25)^2}{19.25}=&\,0.94,\\ \frac{(17-17)^2}{17}=&\,0. \end{align*}

Thus, the completed table is

Degree classificationArtsHumanitiesSciencesTotal
Distinction0.430.331.442.20
Merit0.062.632.294.98
Pass1.310.9402.25
Total9.43

(b)

解法一

思路

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由 (a) 得检验统计量 χ2=9.43\chi^2=9.43。这是 3×33\times3 列联表的独立性检验,所以自由度为 (31)(31)=4(3-1)(3-1)=4。将统计量与 5%5\% 上尾临界值比较,并以学位类别和学系为语境写结论。

答题过程

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The hypotheses are:

  • H0H_0: degree category and department are independent.
  • H1H_1: there is an association between degree category and department.

From part (a),

χ2=9.43.\chi^2=9.43.

The number of degrees of freedom is

ν=(31)(31)=4.\nu=(3-1)(3-1)=4.

At the 5%5\% significance level, the critical value is

χ42(0.05)=9.488.\chi^2_4(0.05)=9.488.

Since

9.43<9.488,9.43<9.488,

the result is not significant, so H0H_0 is not rejected. There is insufficient evidence of an association between degree category and department.